Big Bear Lake Real Estate Market! October-December 2026

Page 1: Big Bear Market Report, Q3 2026

Big Bear is still a buyer’s market heading into fall 2026. Big Bear Lake has about 8.5 months of supply, and roughly three in four recent sales closed below the asking price. Here is what that means if you are shopping for a cabin this season.

The numbers at a glance

MLS data for cabins and single-family homes, last 90 days as of October 13, 2026 (roughly the third quarter):

MetricBig Bear LakeBig Bear City
Median sale price$590,000$390,000
Median list price (active)$619,000$456,950
Homes sold10299
Active listings289276
Months of supply8.58.4
Average days on market (sold)9984
Price per sq ft (sold)$409$332
Sales closed above list12.7%16.2%
Sales closed below list74.5%63.6%
Sale price vs. final list price97.0%97.6%
Sale price vs. original list price92.4%94.1%

An independent check agrees on direction: Redfin reports an August 2026 median sale price of $554,633 for Big Bear Lake, down 7.4% from a year earlier. Different sites use different property types and date windows, so their medians will not match exactly.

What this means for buyers

  • You have room to negotiate. Homes sold for about 92% of their original list price, so sellers are cutting asking prices (about 5% on average) before they close.
  • Time is on your side. Homes that sold took about 99 days in Big Bear Lake and 84 in Big Bear City. You do not need to rush into a first-weekend offer.
  • Well-priced homes still get competition. About 1 in 8 Big Bear Lake sales (12.7%) and 1 in 6 Big Bear City sales (16.2%) closed above list. Priced right, a good cabin still draws multiple offers.
  • The price gap between towns is large. The median sale price in Big Bear Lake is about 51% higher than in Big Bear City ($590,000 vs. $390,000). If your budget is tight, our Lake vs. City comparison shows what each area offers.

What we are seeing on the ground

[Homes that are priced right and don’t need a ton of work are selling. Compared to pricing it too high and playing the price cutting game every month or so. Also Sellers are willing to accept a lower offer, buy your interest rates down and even do repairs in this market. This means for you as a buyer there are deals to be had! As a Seller be aware of these factors and set yourself up for sucess with a fair listing price!]

Thinking about buying in Big Bear?

“Talk to The Meissner Group about what your budget can buy right now.” + 760-498-5734 or book an appointment with us online https://calendar.app.google/38KoeuVRK7wNbWWP7

Market data is for informational purposes and deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Contact a licensed REALTORĀ® for guidance on a specific property. [Collin & Lisa Meissner DRE#01966489 760-498-5734 / 760-498-6381]